5% on the 30-year raises the risk-free rate, which changes the equity discount rate. a 40x stock looks very different at 5% vs 2%. growth stocks re-rate when yields move
Well, yes, but that's another way of saying the same thing. If the US can't pay and is forced to devalue their currency, thus tanking the value of your investment, you lose money. Therefore, the likelihood of this drives interest rates up.
5% on the 30-year raises the risk-free rate, which changes the equity discount rate. a 40x stock looks very different at 5% vs 2%. growth stocks re-rate when yields move
as debtor, you have to pay a higher price when the creditor's risk for non-payment increases. power of the market.
The US can always print money; it's the expected inflation dictates the value of bonds.
Well, yes, but that's another way of saying the same thing. If the US can't pay and is forced to devalue their currency, thus tanking the value of your investment, you lose money. Therefore, the likelihood of this drives interest rates up.
What else happened in 2007?
Nokia released the most useful phone ever sold: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maemo
Enthusiasts were still using it a and releasing updates, over a decade later.
iPhone launch, the "Harry Potter" series finale, the Virginia Tech shooting, and the expansion of the European Union, amongst others.
All good omens (well except one). If history rhymes, I can rest easy.
Good thing ‘08 never happened eh?